May 17, 2025
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Elise Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Denise Gomes overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Elise Reed.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Elise Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Elise Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:30 | 0:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 226 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -22 |
Denise Gomes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Elise Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 322 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Denise Gomes controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 35 total strikes, 28 vs 11 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 52.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Denise Gomes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Elise Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:14 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 834 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Denise Gomes landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Elise Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 152 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Denise Gomes demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Denise Gomes capitalized on this activity level, while Elise Reed's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Elise Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 085 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
Denise Gomes extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elise Reed is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Elise Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.