November 9, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -33 |
Denise Gomes overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Denise Gomes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 297 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Denise Gomes controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 61 total strikes, 73 vs 46 significant strikes. Denise Gomes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:47 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 040 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Denise Gomes slightly outworked Karolina Kowalkiewicz on the ground with 5:47 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 130 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Denise Gomes demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Denise Gomes capitalized on this activity level, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Denise Gomes extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karolina Kowalkiewicz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Denise Gomes | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

