July 10, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Jeremy Stephens's 11-fight experience advantage (21 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Stephens for the expected result. Had Dennis Bermudez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 071 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:32 | 0:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 198 | 1 326 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +83 |
Jeremy Stephens gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -119 | +119 |
Jeremy Stephens dominated the striking exchanges with 39 vs 66 total strikes, 52.1% vs 42.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:57 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 235 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Jeremy Stephens landed 2 knockdowns followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Jeremy Stephens demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Dennis Bermudez's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 157 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +31 |
Jeremy Stephens started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dennis Bermudez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.