February 22, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Matt Grice |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 879 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Dennis Bermudez overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Grice.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Matt Grice |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Matt Grice |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 915 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dennis Bermudez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Matt Grice |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 120 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 209 | 162 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 181 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Dennis Bermudez dominated the striking exchanges with 181 vs 91 total strikes, 120 vs 82 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Matt Grice |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:24 | 2:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 41 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 158 | 903 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Dennis Bermudez controlled Matt Grice on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:24 of control time, 41 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Matt Grice |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 261 |
| Activity ELO | 1 087 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -15 |
Dennis Bermudez demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Grice's 261-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Matt Grice |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -17 |
Dennis Bermudez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Grice is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Matt Grice |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.