February 20, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 164 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Dennis Bermudez's 6-fight experience advantage (11 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dennis Bermudez for the expected result. Had Tatsuya Kawajiri pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 091 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 232 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Dennis Bermudez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 150 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Dennis Bermudez dominated the striking exchanges with 120 vs 27 total strikes, 61 vs 12 significant strikes, 76.3% vs 46.2% accuracy. Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:20 | 7:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 43 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 323 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Dennis Bermudez dominated Tatsuya Kawajiri on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 4:20 of control time, 43 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 226 | 72 |
| Activity ELO | 1 220 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -13 |
Dennis Bermudez demonstrated standard activity with 226 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this activity level, while Tatsuya Kawajiri's 72-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 174 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -15 |
Dennis Bermudez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tatsuya Kawajiri is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 090 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.