January 18, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Dennis Bermudez's 15-fight experience advantage (17 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dennis Bermudez for the expected result. Had Te Edwards pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 211 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Dennis Bermudez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 63 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 122 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 081 | 815 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Dennis Bermudez dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 24 total strikes, 63 vs 23 significant strikes, 51.6% vs 41.1% accuracy. Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:42 | 8:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 33 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 178 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Dennis Bermudez controlled Te Edwards on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 0:42 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 85 |
| Activity ELO | 1 157 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Dennis Bermudez demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this activity level, while Te Edwards's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 105 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -15 |
Dennis Bermudez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Te Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.