August 10, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tommy Hayden |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tommy Hayden |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tommy Hayden |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:43 | 4:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -35 |
Dennis Bermudez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tommy Hayden |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 037 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Dennis Bermudez slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 12 vs 6 significant strikes, 44.4% vs 22.2% accuracy. Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tommy Hayden |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:07 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 122 | 854 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Dennis Bermudez dominated Tommy Hayden on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:07 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tommy Hayden |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -18 |
Dennis Bermudez demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this activity level, while Tommy Hayden's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tommy Hayden |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Dennis Bermudez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tommy Hayden is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Bermudez | Tommy Hayden |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.