October 28, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +54 |
Donald Cerrone overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dennis Siver.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 075 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:22 | 2:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 281 | 1 320 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +96 |
Donald Cerrone earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 265 | 1 307 |
| ELO Change | -131 | +131 |
Donald Cerrone dominated the striking exchanges with 39.1% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Donald Cerrone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 153 | 1 365 |
| ELO Change | -104 | +104 |
Donald Cerrone dominated Dennis Siver on the ground with 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 76 |
| Activity ELO | 1 250 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +87 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 76 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while Dennis Siver's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 114 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +35 |
Donald Cerrone extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dennis Siver is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.