January 22, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 991 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Gray Maynard earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 155 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 037 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Dennis Siver controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (155 vs 79 total strikes), significant strike advantage (16 vs 26). However, since Dennis Siver lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gray Maynard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:35 | 10:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 929 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Gray Maynard dominated Dennis Siver on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 10:48 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 138 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +37 |
Gray Maynard demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gray Maynard capitalized on this activity level, while Dennis Siver's 138-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Gray Maynard extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dennis Siver is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.