January 16, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 993 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:45 | 3:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 058 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -40 |
Dennis Siver gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 190 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 986 | 886 |
| ELO Change | +113 | -113 |
Nate Mohr controlled the striking through superior accuracy (47.1% vs 25.3%). However, since Nate Mohr lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dennis Siver's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 1:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 898 | 883 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Dennis Siver did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nate Mohr on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 385 |
| Activity ELO | 1 014 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Dennis Siver demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dennis Siver capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Mohr's 385-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Dennis Siver started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Mohr is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

