June 19, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 17 | -17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +94 |
Tatsuya Kawajiri overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dennis Siver.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 187 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Tatsuya Kawajiri earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 121 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Dennis Siver controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (90 vs 47 total strikes), superior accuracy (36.7% vs 56.4%). However, since Dennis Siver lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tatsuya Kawajiri's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 028 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -112 | +112 |
Tatsuya Kawajiri dominated Dennis Siver on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:29 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 153 | 435 |
| Activity ELO | 1 201 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +30 |
Tatsuya Kawajiri demonstrated extended layoff with 435 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tatsuya Kawajiri capitalized on this activity level, while Dennis Siver's 153-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +30 |
Tatsuya Kawajiri started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dennis Siver is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dennis Siver | Tatsuya Kawajiri |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.