February 14, 2020
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 920 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Devin Clark's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Devin Clark for the expected result. Had Dequan Townsend pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 939 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 888 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Devin Clark earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 122 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 826 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Devin Clark dominated the striking exchanges with 122 vs 37 total strikes, 39 vs 6 significant strikes, 72.2% vs 16.7% accuracy. Devin Clark capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 10:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 27 |
| Ground ELO | 823 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Devin Clark dominated Dequan Townsend on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 10:06 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 21 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 942 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +30 |
Devin Clark demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Devin Clark capitalized on this activity level, while Dequan Townsend's 21-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 939 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +19 |
Devin Clark started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dequan Townsend is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 939 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

