October 2, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 866 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Dusko Todorovic overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dequan Townsend.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 922 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:15 | 3:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 859 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +59 |
Dusko Todorovic gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 134 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 772 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Dusko Todorovic dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 21 total strikes, 85 vs 13 significant strikes, 63.4% vs 31.7% accuracy. Dusko Todorovic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 3:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 29 |
| Ground ELO | 788 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Dusko Todorovic controlled Dequan Townsend on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:25 of control time, 29 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 924 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Dusko Todorovic demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Dusko Todorovic capitalized on this activity level, while Dequan Townsend's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 922 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Dusko Todorovic started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dequan Townsend is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dequan Townsend | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 922 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.