January 30, 2015
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 191 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -28 |
Derek Brunson overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ed Herman.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:36 | 0:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 292 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | +157 | -59 |
Derek Brunson secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:36 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 305 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +227 | -227 |
Derek Brunson controlled the striking exchanges with 11 vs 0 significant strikes, 61.1% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Derek Brunson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 217 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Derek Brunson landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 106 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -28 |
Derek Brunson demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derek Brunson capitalized on this activity level, while Ed Herman's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -24 |
Derek Brunson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ed Herman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.