February 11, 2022
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 295 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +61 |
Jared Cannonier overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Derek Brunson.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 155 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:29 | 4:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 515 | 1 589 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +107 |
Jared Cannonier gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 89 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 333 | 1 492 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Jared Cannonier edged the striking exchanges with 55 vs 43 significant strikes, 61.8% vs 44.3% accuracy. Jared Cannonier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:38 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 467 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Jared Cannonier edged out Derek Brunson on the ground with 1 takedown, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 329 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +52 |
Jared Cannonier demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Cannonier capitalized on this activity level, while Derek Brunson's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 229 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +34 |
Jared Cannonier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Derek Brunson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 147 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.