November 25, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 214 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 096 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:07 | 4:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 426 | 1 492 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +117 |
Robert Whittaker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 362 | 1 503 |
| ELO Change | -126 | +126 |
Robert Whittaker controlled the striking exchanges with 33 vs 19 significant strikes, 56.9% vs 45.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:12 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 245 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Robert Whittaker landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 71 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 167 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Robert Whittaker demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Derek Brunson's 71-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 138 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +50 |
Robert Whittaker continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Derek Brunson's now at 0.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.