January 14, 2014
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:23 | 3:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 108 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +72 |
Yoel Romero gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Yoel Romero controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 56 total strikes, 60 vs 38 significant strikes, 63.8% vs 40.4% accuracy. Yoel Romero capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:56 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 23 |
| Ground ELO | 1 102 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Yoel Romero did not secure a significant ground advantage against Derek Brunson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:53 of control time, 23 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +63 |
Yoel Romero demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Yoel Romero capitalized on this activity level, while Derek Brunson's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Yoel Romero extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Derek Brunson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derek Brunson | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.