June 21, 2019
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Deron Winn | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Deron Winn overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Eric Spicely.
| Metric | Deron Winn | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Deron Winn | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 043 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Deron Winn earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Deron Winn | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 169 | 108 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 367 | 224 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 171 | 108 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 822 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Deron Winn dominated the striking exchanges with 171 vs 108 total strikes, 169 vs 108 significant strikes. Deron Winn capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Deron Winn | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 025 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Deron Winn did not secure a significant ground advantage against Eric Spicely on the ground with 1:18 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Deron Winn | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 391 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Deron Winn demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Deron Winn capitalized on this activity level, while Eric Spicely's 391-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Deron Winn | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Deron Winn started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eric Spicely is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Deron Winn | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.