May 17, 2019
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 984 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Vicente Luque's 10-fight experience advantage (11 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vicente Luque for the expected result. Had Derrick Krantz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:52 | 3:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 994 | 1 459 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +13 |
Vicente Luque earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 422 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Vicente Luque controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 6 significant strikes, 72.0% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:36 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 993 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Vicente Luque landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 90 |
| Activity ELO | 992 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +20 |
Vicente Luque demonstrated solid activity levels with 90 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Derrick Krantz's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +24 |
Vicente Luque continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Derrick Krantz's now at 0.
| Metric | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

