Derrick Lewis vs Francis Ngannou

July 6, 2018

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1288
(+32)
Derrick Lewis
Winner: Derrick Lewis
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Derrick Lewis+32
Francis Ngannou-30
1245
(-30)
Francis Ngannou

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +32Francis Ngannou: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisFrancis Ngannou
Total UFC Fights148
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 2531 197
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Derrick Lewis for the expected result. Had Francis Ngannou pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +21Francis Ngannou: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisFrancis Ngannou
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1441 094
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +51Francis Ngannou: -51

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisFrancis Ngannou
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 5171 493
ELO Change+51-51
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +51Francis Ngannou: -51

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisFrancis Ngannou
Significant Strikes Landed2011
Significant Strikes Attempted5446
Total Strikes Landed2011
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4511 483
ELO Change+51-51
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis edged the striking exchanges with 20 vs 11 significant strikes, 37.0% vs 23.9% accuracy. Derrick Lewis capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +20Francis Ngannou: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisFrancis Ngannou
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:010:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2451 183
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +39Francis Ngannou: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisFrancis Ngannou
Days Since Last Fight139168
Activity ELO1 3431 262
ELO Change+39-20
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis demonstrated solid activity levels with 139 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Francis Ngannou's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +25Francis Ngannou: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisFrancis Ngannou
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 2101 165
ELO Change+25-21
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francis Ngannou is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +20Francis Ngannou: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisFrancis Ngannou
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1421 085
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.