July 6, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Francis Ngannou |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 253 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Derrick Lewis's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Derrick Lewis for the expected result. Had Francis Ngannou pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Francis Ngannou |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 144 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Francis Ngannou |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 517 | 1 493 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Derrick Lewis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Francis Ngannou |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 451 | 1 483 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Derrick Lewis edged the striking exchanges with 20 vs 11 significant strikes, 37.0% vs 23.9% accuracy. Derrick Lewis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Francis Ngannou |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 245 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Francis Ngannou |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 139 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 343 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Derrick Lewis demonstrated solid activity levels with 139 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Francis Ngannou's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Francis Ngannou |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 210 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Derrick Lewis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francis Ngannou is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Francis Ngannou |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 142 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

