April 9, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -30 |
Derrick Lewis overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gabriel Gonzaga.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 331 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -41 |
Derrick Lewis earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 246 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Derrick Lewis controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 5 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Derrick Lewis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 3:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 132 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Derrick Lewis landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 64 | 121 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -20 |
Derrick Lewis demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 64 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Gabriel Gonzaga's 121-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 097 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Derrick Lewis extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabriel Gonzaga is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Gabriel Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.