July 5, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:30 | 3:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 157 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -31 |
Derrick Lewis earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 115 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Guto Inocente controlled the striking through superior accuracy (75.0% vs 37.5%). However, since Guto Inocente lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Derrick Lewis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:33 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 106 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Derrick Lewis controlled Guto Inocente on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:33 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 78 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -20 |
Derrick Lewis demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 78 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Guto Inocente's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Derrick Lewis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Guto Inocente is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Guto Inocente |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.