Derrick Lewis vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

July 28, 2023

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1253
(+67)
Derrick Lewis
Winner: Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:33

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Derrick Lewis+67
Marcos Rogerio de Lima-58
1135
(-58)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +30Marcos Rogerio de Lima: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Total UFC Fights2717
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 2251 147
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis's 10-fight experience advantage (27 vs 17 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Derrick Lewis for the expected result. Had Marcos Rogerio de Lima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +19Marcos Rogerio de Lima: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1321 058
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +90Marcos Rogerio de Lima: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:330:33
Win Type ELO1 5351 344
ELO Change+90-34
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What Happened

Derrick Lewis secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:33 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +254Marcos Rogerio de Lima: -254

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Significant Strikes Landed171
Significant Strikes Attempted331
Total Strikes Landed202
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 3421 101
ELO Change+254-254
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 1 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 100.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Derrick Lewis capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +85Marcos Rogerio de Lima: -85

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:290:00
Ground Strikes Landed161
Ground ELO1 1351 118
ELO Change+85-85
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis controlled Marcos Rogerio de Lima on the ground with 0:29 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +23Marcos Rogerio de Lima: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Days Since Last Fight17591
Activity ELO1 3331 162
ELO Change+23-13
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Marcos Rogerio de Lima's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +19Marcos Rogerio de Lima: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1941 088
ELO Change+19-17
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What Happened

Derrick Lewis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcos Rogerio de Lima is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Derrick Lewis: +19Marcos Rogerio de Lima: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDerrick LewisMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1301 058
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.