June 9, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 197 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Mark Hunt's 3-fight experience advantage (15 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mark Hunt for the expected result. Had Derrick Lewis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 106 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 3:51 | 3:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 430 | 1 549 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +86 |
Mark Hunt gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 125 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 328 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Mark Hunt edged the striking exchanges with 59 vs 51 significant strikes, 47.2% vs 36.7% accuracy. Mark Hunt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 205 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 111 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 290 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +76 |
Mark Hunt demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mark Hunt capitalized on this activity level, while Derrick Lewis's 111-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 169 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +29 |
Mark Hunt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Derrick Lewis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 105 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

