February 27, 2015
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 049 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:18 | 3:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 174 | 913 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -20 |
Derrick Lewis gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 077 | 797 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Derrick Lewis controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 31 total strikes, 53 vs 7 significant strikes, 64.6% vs 53.8% accuracy. Derrick Lewis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:08 | 1:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 46 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 080 | 823 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Derrick Lewis controlled Ruan Potts on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:08 of control time, 46 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 177 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 090 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -15 |
Derrick Lewis demonstrated solid activity levels with 177 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Ruan Potts's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Derrick Lewis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ruan Potts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Ruan Potts |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.