July 29, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 25 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 233 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +106 |
Sergei Pavlovich overcame a 20-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Derrick Lewis.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 138 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:55 | 0:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 507 | 1 483 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +185 |
Sergei Pavlovich secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:55 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 224 | 1 435 |
| ELO Change | -151 | +151 |
Sergei Pavlovich controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 4 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 340 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +71 |
Sergei Pavlovich demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this activity level, while Derrick Lewis's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 203 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +42 |
Sergei Pavlovich extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Derrick Lewis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 136 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.