December 8, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 197 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Derrick Lewis's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Derrick Lewis for the expected result. Had Shamil Abdurakhimov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 111 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 3:42 | 3:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 363 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -12 |
Derrick Lewis gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 304 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Derrick Lewis controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 77 total strikes, 39 vs 15 significant strikes. Derrick Lewis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 7:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 27 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 172 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Derrick Lewis edged out Shamil Abdurakhimov on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:42 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 156 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 274 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -9 |
Derrick Lewis demonstrated solid activity levels with 156 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Shamil Abdurakhimov's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 151 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -15 |
Derrick Lewis continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Shamil Abdurakhimov's now at 0.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 111 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.