June 5, 2015
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Shawn Jordan's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Shawn Jordan for the expected result. Had Derrick Lewis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:48 | 0:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 144 | 1 334 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +62 |
Shawn Jordan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 964 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Shawn Jordan dominated the striking exchanges with 65 vs 8 total strikes, 23 vs 6 significant strikes, 62.2% vs 26.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Shawn Jordan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 3:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Shawn Jordan controlled Derrick Lewis on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:31 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +34 |
Shawn Jordan demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Shawn Jordan capitalized on this activity level, while Derrick Lewis's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Shawn Jordan extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Derrick Lewis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.