February 11, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 278 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +77 |
Tai Tuivasa overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Derrick Lewis.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 166 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 577 | 1 549 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +136 |
Tai Tuivasa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 375 | 1 469 |
| ELO Change | -119 | +119 |
Tai Tuivasa controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tai Tuivasa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:48 | 2:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 302 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Tai Tuivasa did not secure a significant ground advantage against Derrick Lewis on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:06 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 375 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +94 |
Tai Tuivasa demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Tai Tuivasa capitalized on this activity level, while Derrick Lewis's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 233 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +55 |
Tai Tuivasa continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Derrick Lewis's now at 0.
| Metric | Derrick Lewis | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 164 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.