April 7, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Desmond Green | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Desmond Green overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Emmett.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Desmond Green receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 142 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 036 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Desmond Green controlled the striking exchanges with 66 vs 43 total strikes, 57 vs 41 significant strikes, 46.0% vs 28.9% accuracy. Desmond Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:33 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 077 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Desmond Green controlled Josh Emmett on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:33 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Desmond Green demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Desmond Green capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Emmett's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Desmond Green started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Emmett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.