February 2, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Michel Prazeres's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Prazeres for the expected result. Had Desmond Green pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 992 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 977 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Michel Prazeres earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 012 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Michel Prazeres edged the striking exchanges with 70 vs 50 total strikes. Michel Prazeres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:45 | 3:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Michel Prazeres controlled Desmond Green on the ground with 3 takedowns, 3:55 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +20 |
Michel Prazeres demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michel Prazeres capitalized on this activity level, while Desmond Green's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +34 |
Michel Prazeres continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Desmond Green's now at 0.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.