Desmond Green vs Rustam Khabilov

September 1, 2017

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1025
(-14)
Desmond Green
Winner: Rustam Khabilov
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Desmond Green-14
Rustam Khabilov+16
1226
(+16)
Rustam Khabilov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Desmond Green: -25Rustam Khabilov: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDesmond GreenRustam Khabilov
Total UFC Fights210
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO1 0641 191
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

Rustam Khabilov's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rustam Khabilov for the expected result. Had Desmond Green pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Desmond Green: -16Rustam Khabilov: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricDesmond GreenRustam Khabilov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0081 127
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Desmond Green: -15Rustam Khabilov: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricDesmond GreenRustam Khabilov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9971 291
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

Rustam Khabilov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Desmond Green: -9Rustam Khabilov: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricDesmond GreenRustam Khabilov
Significant Strikes Landed4734
Significant Strikes Attempted111108
Total Strikes Landed5335
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0271 271
ELO Change-9+9
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What Happened

Desmond Green controlled the striking through superior volume (53 vs 35 total strikes), significant strike advantage (47 vs 34), superior accuracy (42.3% vs 31.5%). However, since Desmond Green lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rustam Khabilov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Desmond Green: -12Rustam Khabilov: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricDesmond GreenRustam Khabilov
Takedowns Landed13
Takedowns Attempted211
Ground Control Time0:201:05
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0651 395
ELO Change-12+12
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What Happened

Rustam Khabilov edged out Desmond Green on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 1:05 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Desmond Green: -9Rustam Khabilov: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricDesmond GreenRustam Khabilov
Days Since Last Fight147266
Activity ELO1 0151 250
ELO Change-9+12
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What Happened

Rustam Khabilov demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rustam Khabilov capitalized on this activity level, while Desmond Green's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Desmond Green: -14Rustam Khabilov: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDesmond GreenRustam Khabilov
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 0121 165
ELO Change-14+27
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What Happened

Rustam Khabilov continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Desmond Green's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Desmond Green: -16Rustam Khabilov: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricDesmond GreenRustam Khabilov
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0081 121
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.