September 1, 2017
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Desmond Green | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 064 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Rustam Khabilov's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rustam Khabilov for the expected result. Had Desmond Green pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 997 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Rustam Khabilov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Desmond Green controlled the striking through superior volume (53 vs 35 total strikes), significant strike advantage (47 vs 34), superior accuracy (42.3% vs 31.5%). However, since Desmond Green lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rustam Khabilov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 1:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Rustam Khabilov edged out Desmond Green on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 1:05 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +12 |
Rustam Khabilov demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rustam Khabilov capitalized on this activity level, while Desmond Green's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +27 |
Rustam Khabilov continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Desmond Green's now at 0.
| Metric | Desmond Green | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

