October 20, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Jan Blachowicz's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jan Blachowicz for the expected result. Had Devin Clark pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:02 | 3:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 007 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +65 |
Jan Blachowicz earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:02, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Devin Clark was submitted.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Jan Blachowicz controlled the striking exchanges with 33 vs 15 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 34.9% accuracy. Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 2:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 922 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -184 | +184 |
Jan Blachowicz dominated Devin Clark on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:41 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 042 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Jan Blachowicz demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this activity level, while Devin Clark's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Jan Blachowicz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Devin Clark is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.