October 11, 2019
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 023 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +32 |
Ryan Spann overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Devin Clark.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:01 | 2:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 039 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +40 |
Ryan Spann earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:01, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Devin Clark was submitted.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 991 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
Devin Clark controlled the striking through superior accuracy (45.9% vs 35.4%). However, since Devin Clark lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ryan Spann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 1:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Ryan Spann edged out Devin Clark on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:08 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +40 |
Ryan Spann demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Spann capitalized on this activity level, while Devin Clark's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 013 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Ryan Spann extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Devin Clark is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Devin Clark | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.