April 15, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Devin Clark | William Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Devin Clark's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Devin Clark for the expected result. Had William Knight pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Devin Clark | William Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Devin Clark | William Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:21 | 3:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 170 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -44 |
Devin Clark gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Devin Clark | William Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 125 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 140 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +121 | -121 |
Devin Clark dominated the striking exchanges with 125 vs 39 total strikes, 34 vs 21 significant strikes, 72.3% vs 51.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Devin Clark capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Devin Clark | William Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:46 | 2:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 017 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -102 |
Devin Clark landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Devin Clark | William Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 127 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Devin Clark demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Devin Clark capitalized on this activity level, while William Knight's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Devin Clark | William Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 041 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Devin Clark started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. William Knight is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Devin Clark | William Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.