October 1, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 013 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:51 | 2:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 100 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +99 |
Jamie Mullarkey gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -121 | +121 |
Jamie Mullarkey controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 32 total strikes, 55 vs 29 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jamie Mullarkey capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 010 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Jamie Mullarkey landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +31 |
Jamie Mullarkey demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jamie Mullarkey capitalized on this activity level, while Devonte Smith's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 020 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +29 |
Jamie Mullarkey extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Devonte Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.