November 9, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Devonte Smith overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Julian Erosa.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:46 | 0:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 101 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -38 |
Devonte Smith secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:46 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 829 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Devonte Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 68.4% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Devonte Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 980 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Devonte Smith demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Devonte Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Julian Erosa's 980-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Devonte Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julian Erosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

