Devonte Smith vs Julian Erosa

November 9, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1050
(+50)
Devonte Smith
Winner: Devonte Smith
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:46

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Devonte Smith+50
Julian Erosa-42
944
(-42)
Julian Erosa

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +67Julian Erosa: -67

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJulian Erosa
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 067931
ELO Change+67-67
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Julian Erosa.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +21Julian Erosa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJulian Erosa
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021978
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +101Julian Erosa: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJulian Erosa
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:460:46
Win Type ELO1 101930
ELO Change+101-38
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:46 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +89Julian Erosa: -89

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJulian Erosa
Significant Strikes Landed134
Significant Strikes Attempted197
Total Strikes Landed134
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 089829
ELO Change+89-89
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 68.4% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Devonte Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +53Julian Erosa: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJulian Erosa
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:030:00
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO1 053950
ELO Change+53-53
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +21Julian Erosa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJulian Erosa
Days Since Last FightN/A980
Activity ELO1 021978
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Devonte Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Julian Erosa's 980-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +23Julian Erosa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJulian Erosa
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julian Erosa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +21Julian Erosa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJulian Erosa
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021978
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.