Devonte Smith vs Justin Jaynes

February 5, 2021

Catch Weight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1071
(+25)
Devonte Smith
Winner: Devonte Smith
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Round 2 • 3:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Devonte Smith+25
Justin Jaynes-24
961
(-24)
Justin Jaynes

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +31Justin Jaynes: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJustin Jaynes
Total UFC Fights44
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 050989
ELO Change+31-20
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +19Justin Jaynes: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJustin Jaynes
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 037959
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +19Justin Jaynes: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJustin Jaynes
Fight OutcomeTKO - Doctor's StoppageTKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:383:38
Win Type ELO1 1481 019
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +33Justin Jaynes: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJustin Jaynes
Significant Strikes Landed3411
Significant Strikes Attempted6527
Total Strikes Landed4619
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 101921
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 19 total strikes, 34 vs 11 significant strikes, 52.3% vs 40.7% accuracy. Devonte Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +48Justin Jaynes: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJustin Jaynes
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time3:080:12
Ground Strikes Landed81
Ground ELO1 085907
ELO Change+48-48
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith controlled Justin Jaynes on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:08 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +15Justin Jaynes: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJustin Jaynes
Days Since Last Fight54063
Activity ELO1 068966
ELO Change+15-17
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith demonstrated extended layoff with 540 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Devonte Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Jaynes's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +20Justin Jaynes: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJustin Jaynes
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 045964
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Devonte Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Jaynes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Devonte Smith: +19Justin Jaynes: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDevonte SmithJustin Jaynes
Weight ClassN/AN/A
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 037959
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.