October 4, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dhiego Lima | Luke Jumeau |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Dhiego Lima's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dhiego Lima for the expected result. Had Luke Jumeau pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dhiego Lima | Luke Jumeau |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dhiego Lima | Luke Jumeau |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dhiego Lima receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dhiego Lima | Luke Jumeau |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Dhiego Lima edged the striking exchanges with 49 vs 24 total strikes, 32 vs 24 significant strikes. Dhiego Lima capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dhiego Lima | Luke Jumeau |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:40 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 963 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Dhiego Lima controlled Luke Jumeau on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:40 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dhiego Lima | Luke Jumeau |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 602 |
| Activity ELO | 1 086 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -21 |
Dhiego Lima demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dhiego Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Jumeau's 602-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dhiego Lima | Luke Jumeau |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Dhiego Lima extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Jumeau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dhiego Lima | Luke Jumeau |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.