Dhiego Lima vs Matt Brown

June 18, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

985
(-24)
Dhiego Lima
Winner: Matt Brown
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:02

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dhiego Lima-24
Matt Brown+28
1146
(+28)
Matt Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -27Matt Brown: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaMatt Brown
Total UFC Fights1128
Experience Gap-1717
Experience ELO1 0111 115
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown's 17-fight experience advantage (28 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had Dhiego Lima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -18Matt Brown: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaMatt Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9731 066
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -18Matt Brown: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaMatt Brown
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:023:02
Win Type ELO1 0421 327
ELO Change-18+36
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -71Matt Brown: +71

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaMatt Brown
Significant Strikes Landed2327
Significant Strikes Attempted5449
Total Strikes Landed2330
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8801 097
ELO Change-71+71
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 55.1% vs 42.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -14Matt Brown: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaMatt Brown
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted40
Ground Control Time0:520:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9411 095
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dhiego Lima on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -12Matt Brown: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaMatt Brown
Days Since Last Fight126154
Activity ELO1 0621 258
ELO Change-12+21
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Dhiego Lima's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -14Matt Brown: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaMatt Brown
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9981 144
ELO Change-14+16
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dhiego Lima is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -18Matt Brown: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaMatt Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9721 063
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.