Dhiego Lima vs Tim Means

February 27, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

972
(-35)
Dhiego Lima
Winner: Tim Means
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:17

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dhiego Lima-35
Tim Means+45
1089
(+45)
Tim Means

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -32Tim Means: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaTim Means
Total UFC Fights38
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9801 039
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Tim Means's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Dhiego Lima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -20Tim Means: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaTim Means
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 040
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -36Tim Means: +81

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaTim Means
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:172:17
Win Type ELO9691 135
ELO Change-36+81
💡

What Happened

Tim Means earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -68Tim Means: +68

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaTim Means
Significant Strikes Landed723
Significant Strikes Attempted2442
Total Strikes Landed725
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO8671 214
ELO Change-68+68
💡

What Happened

Tim Means dominated the striking exchanges with 23 vs 7 significant strikes, 54.8% vs 29.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -69Tim Means: +69

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaTim Means
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:020:22
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 0051 039
ELO Change-69+69
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -16Tim Means: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaTim Means
Days Since Last Fight11270
Activity ELO1 0081 152
ELO Change-16+49
💡

What Happened

Tim Means demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Dhiego Lima's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -19Tim Means: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaTim Means
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9841 056
ELO Change-19+25
💡

What Happened

Tim Means extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dhiego Lima is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dhiego Lima: -20Tim Means: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDhiego LimaTim Means
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 040
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.