February 18, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 918 | 956 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Gloria de Paula earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 87 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 252 | 175 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 124 | 113 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 902 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Diana Belbita controlled the striking through superior accuracy (34.5% vs 50.3%). However, since Diana Belbita lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gloria de Paula's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 5:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 857 | 873 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Gloria de Paula edged out Diana Belbita on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:24 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Gloria de Paula demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gloria de Paula capitalized on this activity level, while Diana Belbita's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Gloria de Paula started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diana Belbita is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.