Diana Belbita vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz

October 6, 2023

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

952
(-20)
Diana Belbita
Winner: Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Diana Belbita-20
Karolina Kowalkiewicz+22
1090
(+22)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Diana Belbita: -23Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDiana BelbitaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Total UFC Fights616
Experience Gap-1010
Experience ELO9601 098
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Karolina Kowalkiewicz for the expected result. Had Diana Belbita pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Diana Belbita: -18Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDiana BelbitaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9621 055
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Diana Belbita: -27Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDiana BelbitaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9351 120
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Diana Belbita: -28Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricDiana BelbitaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Significant Strikes Landed99141
Significant Strikes Attempted261267
Total Strikes Landed108155
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9861 068
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz controlled the striking exchanges with 155 vs 108 total strikes, 141 vs 99 significant strikes, 52.8% vs 37.9% accuracy. Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Diana Belbita: -15Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricDiana BelbitaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted26
Ground Control Time0:532:15
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO8751 091
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz slightly outworked Diana Belbita on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:15 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning modest grappling bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Diana Belbita: -13Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDiana BelbitaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Days Since Last Fight119140
Activity ELO9651 150
ELO Change-13+25
💡

What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this activity level, while Diana Belbita's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Diana Belbita: -16Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDiana BelbitaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9691 086
ELO Change-16+23
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What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diana Belbita is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Diana Belbita: -18Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDiana BelbitaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9621 050
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.