October 17, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Molly McCann's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Molly McCann for the expected result. Had Diana Belbita pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 964 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Molly McCann earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 98 | 113 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 252 | 238 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 126 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 976 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Molly McCann controlled the striking exchanges with 126 vs 104 total strikes, 113 vs 98 significant strikes, 47.5% vs 38.9% accuracy. Molly McCann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:26 | 3:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 32 |
| Ground ELO | 916 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Molly McCann dominated Diana Belbita on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 3:39 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 118 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +45 |
Molly McCann demonstrated solid activity levels with 118 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Molly McCann capitalized on this activity level, while Diana Belbita's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Molly McCann extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diana Belbita is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.