Diego Brandao vs Dustin Poirier

December 27, 2013

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1078
(-38)
Diego Brandao
Winner: Dustin Poirier
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Diego Brandao-38
Dustin Poirier+47
1167
(+47)
Dustin Poirier

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Brandao: -31Dustin Poirier: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego BrandaoDustin Poirier
Total UFC Fights69
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0571 129
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Poirier for the expected result. Had Diego Brandao pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Brandao: -20Dustin Poirier: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego BrandaoDustin Poirier
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0411 090
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Brandao: -38Dustin Poirier: +82

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego BrandaoDustin Poirier
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:544:54
Win Type ELO1 1441 296
ELO Change-38+82
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Brandao: -93Dustin Poirier: +93

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego BrandaoDustin Poirier
Significant Strikes Landed1644
Significant Strikes Attempted4887
Total Strikes Landed1748
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0381 285
ELO Change-93+93
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 17 total strikes, 44 vs 16 significant strikes, 50.6% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dustin Poirier capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Brandao: -61Dustin Poirier: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego BrandaoDustin Poirier
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:120:33
Ground Strikes Landed16
Ground ELO1 1481 153
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Brandao: -20Dustin Poirier: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego BrandaoDustin Poirier
Days Since Last Fight134120
Activity ELO1 1031 176
ELO Change-20+41
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Brandao's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Brandao: -20Dustin Poirier: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego BrandaoDustin Poirier
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0551 113
ELO Change-20+24
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Brandao is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Brandao: -20Dustin Poirier: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego BrandaoDustin Poirier
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0411 090
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.