October 12, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Joey Gambino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 023 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Joey Gambino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Joey Gambino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 071 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Diego Brandao earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Joey Gambino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 067 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Diego Brandao controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 59 total strikes, 33 vs 39 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Diego Brandao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Joey Gambino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:33 | 0:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 060 | 857 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Diego Brandao landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Joey Gambino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Diego Brandao demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Brandao capitalized on this activity level, while Joey Gambino's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Joey Gambino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Diego Brandao started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joey Gambino is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Joey Gambino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.