September 25, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Katsunori Kikuno |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Diego Brandao's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Brandao for the expected result. Had Katsunori Kikuno pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Katsunori Kikuno |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Katsunori Kikuno |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:28 | 0:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -33 |
Diego Brandao secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:28 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Katsunori Kikuno |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 783 |
| ELO Change | +113 | -113 |
Diego Brandao controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 1 significant strikes, 82.4% vs 100.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Diego Brandao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Katsunori Kikuno |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 191 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Katsunori Kikuno |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 130 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -18 |
Diego Brandao demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Brandao capitalized on this activity level, while Katsunori Kikuno's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Katsunori Kikuno |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Diego Brandao extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Katsunori Kikuno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Katsunori Kikuno |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

