April 5, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -32 |
Diego Brandao overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Pablo Garza.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:27 | 3:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 144 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -45 |
Diego Brandao earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 115 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Diego Brandao slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 9 vs 4 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Diego Brandao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:41 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 141 | 879 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Diego Brandao dominated Pablo Garza on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:41 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -21 |
Diego Brandao demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Brandao capitalized on this activity level, while Pablo Garza's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Diego Brandao extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pablo Garza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Brandao | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.