Diego Ferreira vs Grant Dawson

January 18, 2025

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1201
(-29)
Diego Ferreira
Winner: Grant Dawson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Diego Ferreira-29
Grant Dawson+34
1313
(+34)
Grant Dawson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Ferreira: -27Grant Dawson: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego FerreiraGrant Dawson
Total UFC Fights1613
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 1861 300
ELO Change-27+32
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Ferreira.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Ferreira: -18Grant Dawson: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego FerreiraGrant Dawson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0881 176
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Ferreira: -46Grant Dawson: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego FerreiraGrant Dawson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3841 444
ELO Change-46+46
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Ferreira: -44Grant Dawson: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego FerreiraGrant Dawson
Significant Strikes Landed4156
Significant Strikes Attempted6198
Total Strikes Landed84195
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2851 303
ELO Change-44+44
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson dominated the striking exchanges with 195 vs 84 total strikes, 56 vs 41 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 67.2% accuracy. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Ferreira: -37Grant Dawson: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego FerreiraGrant Dawson
Takedowns Landed06
Takedowns Attempted011
Ground Control Time0:2010:50
Ground Strikes Landed430
Ground ELO1 2071 555
ELO Change-37+37
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson dominated Diego Ferreira on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:50 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Ferreira: -19Grant Dawson: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego FerreiraGrant Dawson
Days Since Last Fight25398
Activity ELO1 2161 311
ELO Change-19+48
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Ferreira's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Ferreira: -19Grant Dawson: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego FerreiraGrant Dawson
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 1591 235
ELO Change-19+25
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Ferreira is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Ferreira: -18Grant Dawson: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego FerreiraGrant Dawson
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0841 176
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.