January 18, 2025
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 186 | 1 300 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +32 |
Grant Dawson overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Ferreira.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 384 | 1 444 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Grant Dawson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 195 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 285 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Grant Dawson dominated the striking exchanges with 195 vs 84 total strikes, 56 vs 41 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 67.2% accuracy. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 10:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 30 |
| Ground ELO | 1 207 | 1 555 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Grant Dawson dominated Diego Ferreira on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:50 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 253 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 216 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Grant Dawson demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Ferreira's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 159 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Grant Dawson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Ferreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 084 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

