May 7, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 189 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +44 |
Gregor Gillespie overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Ferreira.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:51 | 4:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 388 | 1 459 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +107 |
Gregor Gillespie gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 258 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Gregor Gillespie edged the striking exchanges with 45 vs 31 significant strikes, 72.6% vs 51.7% accuracy. Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:06 | 5:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 30 |
| Ground ELO | 1 258 | 1 450 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Gregor Gillespie controlled Diego Ferreira on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:10 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 553 |
| Activity ELO | 1 233 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +24 |
Gregor Gillespie demonstrated extended layoff with 553 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Ferreira's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 172 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Gregor Gillespie started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Ferreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 090 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.